Hisuian Lilligant V #17 from Astral Radiance

Should you grade Hisuian Lilligant V #17?

Astral Radiance · grading ROI analysis

Verdict HOLD RAW

Expected value is near zero or negative. The PSA fee + the realistic gem rate mean most submissions of this card will not recoup the cost. Sell raw or hold.

Ungraded

$1.12

PSA 10

$20.99

Gem rate

50.5%

PSA pop

370

The math

Breakeven sale price (raw price + PSA fee)

$1.12 + $25 = $26.12

You need to sell the slabbed card for at least this much to break even.

Projected PSA 10 uplift

($20.99 − $1.12 − $25) ÷ $1.12 × 100 = -458%

If you grade this card AND it returns PSA 10, this is your gross return on grading.

Expected value (uplift × gem rate)

-458% × 50.5% = -231.5%

The real number. Adjusts for the fact that not every submission grades PSA 10.

Net PSA 10 proceeds after marketplace fees

eBay: $10.41 · TCGplayer: $15.54

After 13.25% eBay (or 10.25% TCGplayer) fee + per-order fee + ship. Subtract PSA grading fee ($25) + any PSA shipping for true profit. See methodology.

What this calculator doesn't show

  • Shipping costs. PSA shipping (in + out) typically adds $5–$15 per submission.
  • Selling fees. eBay takes ~13% of gross; TCGplayer ~10%. Subtract from PSA 10 price for net proceeds.
  • Holding cost. 30–60 day PSA turnaround means your capital is tied up.
  • Sub-grade outcomes. A PSA 9 might still beat ungraded price, but a PSA 8 often doesn't. We model only the binary PSA-10-or-bust outcome — be more conservative for borderline cards.
  • Market volatility. PSA 10 prices can swing 20%+ on news cycles. Today's calculated uplift is a snapshot.

For collectors

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See methodology for how we source data and calculate ROI.