Mega Charizard X ex #125 from Phantasmal Flames

Should you grade Mega Charizard X ex #125?

Phantasmal Flames · grading ROI analysis

Verdict GRADE

Expected value is strongly positive — the gem rate is high enough to justify the PSA fee even accounting for sub-10 outcomes.

Ungraded

$834.82

PSA 10

$2076.97

Gem rate

65.3%

PSA pop

13,978

Estimates from public data, for informational purposes only — not financial or investment advice, and not a guarantee of any grade, price, or outcome. See methodology.

The math

Breakeven sale price (raw price + PSA fee)

$834.82 + $25 = $859.82

You need to sell the slabbed card for at least this much to break even.

Projected PSA 10 uplift

($2076.97 − $834.82 − $25) ÷ $834.82 × 100 = +146%

If you grade this card AND it returns PSA 10, this is your gross return on grading.

Expected value (uplift × gem rate)

146% × 65.3% = +95.2%

The real number. Adjusts for the fact that not every submission grades PSA 10.

Net PSA 10 proceeds after marketplace fees

eBay: $1793.97 · TCGplayer: $1860.78

After 13.25% eBay (or 10.25% TCGplayer) fee + per-order fee + ship. Subtract PSA grading fee ($25) + any PSA shipping for true profit. See methodology.

What this calculator doesn't show

  • Shipping costs. PSA shipping (in + out) typically adds $5–$15 per submission.
  • Selling fees. eBay takes ~13% of gross; TCGplayer ~10%. Subtract from PSA 10 price for net proceeds.
  • Holding cost. 30–60 day PSA turnaround means your capital is tied up.
  • Sub-grade outcomes. A PSA 9 might still beat ungraded price, but a PSA 8 often doesn't. We model only the binary PSA-10-or-bust outcome — be more conservative for borderline cards.
  • Market volatility. PSA 10 prices can swing 20%+ on news cycles. Today's calculated uplift is a snapshot.
Got more cards? Track your whole collection — free
A GRADE / CONSIDER / HOLD verdict plus price-drop alerts on every card you own, updated daily. One tap, no credit card.

By signing up you agree to our Terms and Privacy Policy, and confirm you're 13 or older. Data shown is estimates for informational purposes only — not financial advice.

Prefer a CSV? Import from Collectr / Dragon Shield / TCGplayer →

Want the full picture — pop report, price ladder, 30-day trend, and related cards?

Full Mega Charizard X ex #125 page →

See methodology for how we source data and calculate ROI.